Walter Hart, Hlooho ea Lefatše ea Olefins ho S&P Global Energy CERA, o boletse Sebokeng sa Lefatše sa Petrochemical hore ho koaloa ka botlalo ha Strait of Hormuz ho tla ama bahlahisi ba peterole ba Asia hampe. Li-cracker tsa mouoane Bochabela bo Hare li tla qobelloa ho koaloa, ha lifeme tse ling tsa Asia li tla fokotsa ts'ebetso ka lebaka la khaello ea lijo.Ho lebeletsoe hore tlhahiso ea ethylene lefatšeng ka bophara ka 2026 e theohe ka lithane tse ka bang limilione tse 22, e lekanang le 12% ea tlhahiso ea 2025.
Dikgohlano tsa sesole Koung di sitisitse phepelo ya dikhemikhale tsa peterole. Hoo e ka bang ditone tse dimilione tse 29 tsa bokgoni ba ethylene ba selemo le selemo sebakeng sa Koung ha di a kenngwa tshebetsong, ka ho kwalwa ka botlalo Iran, Kuwait le Qatar, le difeme tse ding tsa Botjhabela bo Hare tse sebetsang ka sekgahla se batlang se le tlase. Sena se se se fokoditse tlhahiso ya ethylene ya sebaka ka ditone tse ka bang dimilione tse 15.
Bochabela bo Hare bo na le matla a ethylene a ka bang lithane tse limilione tse 35, ao lithane tse ka bang limilione tse 6 tsa 'ona li leng ka ntle ho Kou ea Persia. Sena se sieaLithane tse limilione tse 29 tsa matla a ethylene a thehiloeng Koung li pepesitsoe ka ho tobaho fana ka litšitiso.
Ho tshoha ha ketane ya phepelo ho nametse hole ka nqane ho Kou. Kgaello ya phepelo ya naphtha le oli e tala e qobelletse dibaka tsa peterole ho pholletsa le Asia ho fokotsa sekgahla sa ho e tsamaisa. "Ho feta halofo ya bokgoni ba lefatshe bo amehile," Hart o hlokometse. Ntle le ditone tse dimilione tse 29 tse sitisitsweng Kou, ho fokotseha ha phepelo ya phepelo ho amme ditone tse ka bang dimilione tse 105 tsa bokgoni ba ethylene Asia.
Ha ho sa kenyelletsoe sebaka sa Kou, Hart o hakanyaLithane tse limilione tse 7-8 tsa tlhahiso ea ethylene lefatšeng ka bopharae tla lahleha selemong sena ka lebaka la mefuta ea ketane ea phepelo. Lintlha li bontša hore tlhahiso ea lefats'e ea ethylene e fihlile litoneng tse limilione tse 185 ka 2025, ka kakaretso ea bokhoni ba litone tse ka bang limilione tse 232.
Khohlano ena e sitisitse haholo ho romelwa ha polyethylene (PE) le ethylene glycol (EG) linaheng tsa Bochabela bo Hare ho ea Asia, e leng se ileng sa etsa hore liketane tsa phepelo ea polyolefin, polyester le PET li phethohe.
Tlhoko ea ethylene ea nako e telele e ntse e lebelletsoe ho hola, leha e le ka lebelo le liehang. Hart o rera hore sekhahla sa ts'ebetso le phaello li ke ke tsa hlaphoheloa ka botlalo ho fihlela mathoasong a lilemo tsa bo-2030, ha tlhoko e ntseng e eketseha e fihlela keketseho e ncha ea bokhoni.
Nako ea poso: Mmesa-10-2026